[研究报告]2021年电动公交车市场价值为2917951万美元，预计到2028年将达到10580815万美元；预计 2021 年至 2028 年复合年增长率为 20.2%。
分析师观点：
近年来，电动巴士市场经历了显着的增长和转型。随着人们对环境可持续性的日益关注和减少碳排放的需要，电动公交车已成为一种有前景的公共交通解决方案。电动公交车以电力而非传统化石燃料为动力，具有尾气零排放、减少噪音污染和提高能源效率等众多优势。这些因素推动了电动公交车在全球的采用。许多国家的政府和交通机构一直在积极推动电动公交车的部署，作为其可持续交通举措的一部分。他们实施了各种激励措施、补贴和法规，鼓励采用电动公交车并加速向绿色公共交通的过渡。电动巴士行业的主要市场参与者一直在研发方面投入巨资，以增强电池技术、改善充电基础设施并提高电动巴士的续航里程和效率。因此，随着时间的推移，电动公交车的性能和可靠性显着提高，使其成为传统公交车的可行替代品。
中国已成为最大的电动公交车市场，占全球销售额的重要份额。中国政府的大力支持和优惠政策，以及国家雄心勃勃的减少污染目标，推动了中国电动公交车市场的快速增长。然而，电动公交车不仅仅局限于中国。其他几个国家，包括美国、欧洲国家和印度，电动公交车的采用也出现了激增。在欧洲，在严格的排放法规和可持续交通目标的推动下，荷兰、德国和英国等国家一直处于电动公交车部署的前沿。电动巴士市场也在见证技术进步，例如自动驾驶电动巴士的开发。这些自动驾驶巴士有潜力通过提供高效便捷的出行解决方案来彻底改变公共交通。
市场概况：
完全电动且不使用传统内燃机 (ICE) 进行推进的公交车被称为电动公交车或电动公交车。一组电池或车载电池为驱动电动巴士的车载电动机提供动力。由于电动公交车不排放任何污染物，且比传统汽油/柴油公交车更具成本效益，因此被认为是环保的。
战略见解< /strong>
市场驱动力：
成功部署电动公交车各城市和地区推动电动客车市场增长
电动客车在各城市和地区的成功部署，对推动电动客车市场发展发挥着至关重要的作用电动巴士市场。当城市和交通机构成功实施电动公交车队并展示其有效性时，它会产生积极的影响，并以多种方式波及整个市场。首先，成功的部署作为概念证明，向其他城市和地区展示了电动公交车的可行性和优势。当一个城市展示出采用电动公交车的积极成果时，就会激励其他城市效仿。交通机构和市政当局观察电动公交车的运营绩效、环境影响和公众接受情况，从而增强人们对其作为可持续交通解决方案潜力的信心。
其次，成功的部署会产生多米诺骨牌效应，促进城市和地区之间的竞争意识。当邻近城市或地区实施电动公交车并取得积极成果时，就会促使附近的司法管辖区考虑采用它们以保持竞争力。这创造了健康的市场竞争，随着越来越多的城市加入向更清洁、更绿色的公共交通转型，推动电动公交车市场的增长。此外，成功的部署也是学习机会。城市和交通机构可以学习早期采用者的经验，包括最佳实践、面临的挑战以及克服障碍的策略。这种知识共享使得后续部署的实施更加顺畅、更加高效，从而加速电动公交车市场的整体增长。成功的部署还吸引了媒体关注和公众兴趣，为电动公交车产生了积极的宣传。媒体对城市通过电动公交车实现环境里程碑和改善空气质量的报道提高了公众意识。它支持公众将电动公交车作为传统公交车的可行且可持续的替代品的看法。这种知名度的提高有助于积极的市场情绪，鼓励更多的城市、交通机构和利益相关者采用电动公交车。这反过来又使电动公交车变得更加实惠，对更广泛的城市和地区更具吸引力，从而推动市场增长。
细分分析：
< /span>根据车型，市场分为纯电动客车、混合动力客车和插电式混合动力客车。电池电动巴士细分市场在 2020 年占据最大市场份额，预计在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。纯电动客车已成为电动客车市场的主导技术，占据最大的市场份额。这主要是由于它们的环境可持续性，因为它们产生零尾气排放，与全球减少碳排放的努力保持一致。电池技术的进步，包括能量密度的提高和续航里程的提高，提高了电池电动公交车的性能和可行性。不断增长的充电基础设施网络进一步支持了它们的实用性。有利的政府政策和激励措施，以及主要客车制造商的积极参与，促进了纯电动客车的广泛采用。在这些因素推动市场增长的情况下，纯电动公交车有望保持行业领先地位。
区域分析：
< /p>2021年亚太电动客车市场价值为263.7534亿美元，预计到2028年将达到153.8611亿美元；预计在预测期内复合年增长率为 20.2%。亚太地区已成为电动公交车的主要市场，呈现出显着的增长并占据了可观的市场份额。有几个关键因素促成了这种区域主导地位。首先，亚太地区，特别是中国，一直处于电动公交车采用的前沿。中国实施了雄心勃勃的政策和目标来解决空气污染和减少温室气体排放。
中国政府提供了强有力的支持和激励措施，包括补贴和赠款，以加快部署电动巴士。这种积极主动的做法推动中国成为全球最大的电动公交车市场，推动了亚太地区的整体主导地位。此外，亚太地区庞大的人口和城市中心迫切需要可持续、高效的公共交通解决方案。快速的城市化以及对空气污染和交通拥堵的日益担忧促使印度、日本和韩国等国家的政府和交通机构优先采用电动公交车。密集的城市环境和繁忙的交通量使电动公交车成为减少排放和改善空气质量的有吸引力的选择。
此外，亚太地区强大的制造生态系统也发挥了重要作用。并在其统治地位中发挥着重要作用。亚洲国家，特别是中国，拥有强大的制造基础设施和生产电动汽车（包括公共汽车）的专业知识。当地制造商在研发方面投入巨资，推动电池技术和具有成本效益的生产方法的进步。这导致了竞争激烈的市场格局以及各种价位的电动公交车型号的出现，进一步增强了市场主导地位。此外，政府的支持政策和举措加速了亚太地区电动巴士市场的发展。各国政府已实施法规、排放标准和财政激励措施来鼓励采用电动公交车。这些政策创造了良好的商业环境，并为公交机构投资电动公交车队提供了动力。
主要参与者分析：
电动客车市场分析由金龙联合汽车工业有限公司等企业组成；沃尔沃集团；深圳市五洲龙电机有限公司；比亚迪股份有限公司；戴姆勒； AG亚历山大丹尼斯有限公司；埃布斯科； Proterra Solaris 总线和教练SA；和 NFI 集团公司。由于提供多样化的产品组合，AB沃尔沃和 EBUSCO 是电动巴士领域的前两名参与者。
近期发展：< /strong>
并购等无机和有机策略被电动客车市场企业广泛采用。下面列出了最近的一些关键市场动态：
- 2022 年 3 月：Proterra Inc 宣布与 Shyft Group 签署战略性多年供应协议，为其 Blue 提供动力Arc 专用电动货车和电动汽车底盘。
- 2020 年 7 月，AB沃尔沃与西澳大利亚州公共交通管理局 (PTA) 建立合作伙伴关系，推出沃尔沃首款电动车前往澳大利亚的巴士。这些规定是在沃尔沃澳大利亚产品线采用替代动力车辆技术后将其引入公共交通巴士网络的规定。
Report Coverage
Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends
Segment Covered
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to segments covered.
Regional Scope
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America
Country Scope
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to country scope.
Frequently Asked Questions
An electric powertrain is combined with fuel cell systems, controlled technology, and batteries to power hydrogen fuel cell buses. These buses are considered next-generation green transportation because their lifespan is far longer than a typical electric bus. The hydrogen fuel cell bus can refuel quickly and has many routes. With such benefits, the demand for hydrogen fuel cell buses is skyrocketing. For instance, over a thousand hydrogen buses will be launched throughout Europe during the next few years. China has been at the forefront of this technology, moving the battery-electric-driven business forward. In the United States, the deployment of hydrogen-fueled buses has been slow, with hydrogen buses accounting for only 3.1% of total zero-emission buses (deployed or planned) across the country. The deployment will likely grow significantly over the next decade, with the scalability factor outweighing the high procurement costs. For instance, within the scope of three initiatives in Cwmbran, Warwickshire, and Ballymena, the UK Business Secretary announced a GBP 54 million fund to create the next generation of electric trucks and hydrogen-powered buses. The initiatives are expected to create around 10,000 employment and reduce 45 million tonnes of carbon emissions across the UK. Thus, increasing demand for hydrogen fuel bus will drive the electric bus market.
Electric buses employ a variety of batteries. Low-cost lithium ion-phosphate batteries are becoming increasingly used in electric buses. Batteries made of lithium-ion phosphate are both cost-effective and robust. The average price of these batteries is a significant benefit for automakers. Due to its speed, safety, and excellent thermal stability, lithium-ion phosphate batteries have seen a phenomenal increase in sales in recent years. To accommodate the growing need for longer driving ranges, market participants are implementing technical improvements to improve the operational efficiency of the batteries. This will increase electric bus sales. Electric bus manufacturers are always trying to improve efficiency and increase the range of their vehicles. Furthermore, the production of high-density Nickel, Manganese, and Cobalt (NMC) batteries are subject to significant intellectual property rights, primarily from Japanese and Korean battery manufacturers, and the use of LFP batteries avoids any risk of litigation while simultaneously promoting domestic battery suppliers over foreign competitors such as LG Chem and Samsung. For instance, CATL and BYD sold 78 percent of electric bus lithium-ion batteries in China in 2018, and both companies chose LFP batteries for electric buses. Thus, rising production of low-cost lithium ion-phosphate batteries will drive the demand for electric bus market.
The major end user in electric bus market includes public, and private. In terms of market share, the market was dominated by the public segment in 2020.
Based on vehicle type, the global electric bus market is segmented into battery electric bus, hybrid electric bus, and plug-in hybrid electric bus. The electric bus market was dominated by the battery electric bus segment in 2020.
Asia Pacific dominated the electric bus market in 2020 with a share of 90.4% and is expected to continue its dominance by 2028. Europe is the second-largest contributor to the global electric bus market in 2020, followed by North America.
The major companies in electric bus market are AB Volvo; King Long United Automotive Industry Co., Ltd; Shenzhen Wuzhoulong Motors Co., Ltd; BYD Company Ltd; Daimler AG; Ebusco; CAF Group (Solaris Bus & Coach); Proterra Inc; NFI Group; and Van Hool NV.
The List of Companies - Electric Bus Market
- AB Volvo
- King Long United Automotive Industry Co., Ltd
- Shenzhen Wuzhoulong Motors Co., Ltd
- BYD Company Ltd
- Daimler AG
- Ebusco
- CAF Group (Solaris Bus & Coach)
- Proterra Inc
- NFI Group
- Van Hool NV
The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.
- Data Collection and Secondary Research:
As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published and advised several client across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.
Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organization are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.
- Primary Research:
The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.
For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.
A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:
- Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
- Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
- Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding
Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:
- Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
- Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.
Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:
Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.
- Data Analysis:
Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.
- Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:
We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.
- Country Level Data:
Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.
- Company Profile:
The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.
- Developing Base Number:
Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.
- Data Triangulation and Final Review:
The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.
We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.
We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.
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