Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market Forecast to 2028

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market Forecast to 2028 - COVID-19 Impact and Global Analysis By Type (9-Valent HPV Vaccine, Quadrivalent HPV Vaccine, and Bivalent HPV Vaccine), Dosage (2 Dose and 3 Dose), Age (9 to 14 Years and 15 to 45 Years), Application (HPV-Attributable Cancer and Genital Warts), and Distribution Channel (Doctors Office, Community Health Clinics, School-Based Health Centers, Health Departments, Hospitals, and Others)

  • Report Code : TIPRE00029411
  • Category : Pharmaceuticals
  • Status : Published
  • No. of Pages : 277
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The human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market was valued at US$ 4,273.84 million in 2022 and is projected to reach US$ 5,730.50 million by 2028; it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.0% from 2022 to 2028.

Human papillomaviruses (HPV) is a diverse group of DNA-based viruses that infect the mucous and skin membranes of humans and various animals. More than 100 different types of HPV have been characterized. The increasing prevalence of various cancers caused by HPV is expected to drive the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market during the forecast period. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), HPV is the most common sexually transmitted infection in the US. Over 60% of penile cancers, 70% of vulvar and vaginal cancers, and 90% of anal and cervical cancers are caused due to HPV infection. CDC also states that about 14 million people are newly infected by the virus every year in the US.

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Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market: Strategic Insights

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Market Size Value inUS$ 4,273.84 million in 2022
Market Size Value byUS$ 5,730.50 million by 2028
Growth rateCAGR of 5.0% from 2022 to 2028.
Forecast Period2022-2028
Base Year2022
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The global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented on the basis of type, dosage, age, distribution channel, and geography. The market, by region, is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East & Africa, and South & Central America. The report offers insights and in-depth analysis of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market, emphasizing on various parameters such as market trends, technological advancements, and market dynamics. It also includes the competitive landscape analysis of leading market players across the globe.

Lucrative Regions for Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market

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Market Insight
Increase in Prevalence of HPV Associated Diseases

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted infection and can cause cervical, oropharyngeal cancer, and cancer of the vagina, vulva, penis, or anus. It also causes various diseases, such as anogenital warts and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis. HPVs have also been detected in lichen sclerosus, skin tags, seborrheic keratoses, epidermal cysts, actinic keratoses, and psoriatic plaques. A significant burden of HPV-associated diseases is likely to drive the market's growth.

In women, cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer. As per the World Health Organization (WHO) report estimation, in 2018, an estimated 570,000 women worldwide had cervical cancer, and about 311,000 female deaths were due to cervical cancer. Additionally, the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) estimated that around 14,100 cases of invasive cervical cancer would be registered in the US alone. Further, as per the report, 'Cervical cancer burden in EU-27,' in 2020, there were 30,447 new cases and 13,437 deaths due to cervical cancer in women.

Further, as per the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), in 2018, there were around 43 million HPV infections in the US. The CDC also estimated that about 19,400 women and 12,100 men annually suffer from cancers caused by HPV. Further, as per the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases (NFID), there are around 14 million new HPV infection cases in the US every year. In addition, as per the report, titled 'Human Papillomavirus and Related Diseases Report-Europe,' in 2020, 8,449 women and 4,327 men had anal cancer in Europe.

Such a high incidence of HPV associated infections across the world is likely to favor the overall market growth in the coming years.

Type-Based Insights


Based on type, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented into 9-valent HPV vaccine, quadrivalent HPV vaccine, and bivalent HPV vaccine. In 2022, the quadrivalent HPV vaccine segment holds the largest market share. However, the market for the 9-valent HPV vaccine segment is expected to witness the rapid growth from 2022 to 2028. The quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine protects against infection with HPV types 6, 11, 16, and 18, which are responsible for 70% to 80% of cervical cancers and at least 90% of genital warts cases. The vaccine reduces the risk of genital warts and the precursor lesions of cervical, vaginal, and vulvar cancers caused by the virus.
                                           

Global Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market, by Application – 2022 and 2028

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Global Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Market, by Application – 2022 and 2028
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Dosage-Based Insights

Based on dosage, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented into 2 dose and 3 dose. In 2022, the 2 dose segment accounts for a larger market share.

Age-Based Insights

The global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market, based on age, is segmented into 9 to 14 years and 15 to 45 years. The 9 to 14 years segment held a larger market share in 2022, and the same segment is anticipated to register a higher CAGR during the forecast period.

Application–Based Insights

In terms of application, the global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented into HPV-attributable cancers and genital warts. The HPV-attributable cancers segment holds a larger market share in 2022, and the same segment is anticipated to register a higher CAGR during the forecast period.

Distribution Channel–Based Insights

On the basis of distribution channel, the global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented into doctors office, community health clinics, school-based health centers, health departments, hospitals, and others. The hospitals segment holds the largest share of the market in 2022, and the school-based health centers segment is anticipated to register the highest CAGR in the market during the forecast period.

The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have longer-term consequences on the HPV vaccine business. Many primary care clinics in the US have continued to operate at a reduced capacity to abide by social distancing measures and adopt stringent cleaning protocols. A reduction in in-person office visits limits opportunities for vaccine providers to discuss and deliver vaccines. Barriers in transportation are likely to harm HPV vaccination; pharma and biotech companies traditionally find it difficult to market vaccines among the masses because of resistance received from parents and the absence of widespread awareness about school entry requirements that support other adolescent vaccines. The available evidence indicates that the COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically disrupted the delivery of HPV vaccines in 2020 and 2021. Early reports by CDC, suggest that ordering and billing dropped by >70% in March 2020. Furthermore, a 25–50% decrease in HPV vaccine orders continued in June 2020, in contrast to other early childhood-vaccine orders that resurged to near pre-pandemic levels. Although the revival of the HPV vaccine market is in progress, available data suggest that a short-term decline in HPV vaccination coverage will be substantial, and the demand for HPV vaccine will grow across North America in long term.

Companies commonly adopt product launches and expansion strategies to expand their footprint worldwide, meet the growing demand, and expand their product portfolio. The players operating in the global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market implement the strategy of product innovation for changing customer demand worldwide, which also permits them to maintain their brand name globally.

  • In May 2022, China’s National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) approved GlaxoSmithKline’s (GSK) two-dose vaccine schedule, Cervarix, in girls from 9 to 14 years to prevent cervical cancer. Cervarix is a recombinant, noninfectious, AS04-adjuvanted HPV bivalent (types 16, 18) vaccine.
  • n May 2022, Serum Institute of India announced the development of a tetravalent HPV vaccine including L1 VLPs of serotypes 6,11,16,18, which is expected to give a coverage of ~90% against papillomavirus. The vaccine is currently under development.
  • In May 2020, Shanghai Bovax Biotechnology collaborated with Chongoing Bovax Biopharmaceutical to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of 4-valent and 9-valent HPV recombinant vaccines.

By geography, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine market is segmented into North America (the US, Canada, and Mexico), Europe (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, Belarus, and the Rest of Europe), Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, Australia, Southeast Asia, New Zealand, South Korea, and the Rest of Asia Pacific), the Middle East & Africa (the UAE, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Iran, Turkey, Kuwait, Bahrain, Egypt, and the Rest of Middle East & Africa), and South & Central America (Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Guatemala, Peru, Colombia, and the Rest of South & Central America). GSK; Innovax; Walvax; Serum Institute of India Pvt., Ltd.; Vaccitech; Innovio Pharmaceuticals; Merck & Co., Inc.; 2A Pharm; ChengDu Institute of Biological Products Co., Ltd.; Sanofi; R-Pharm; Shanghai Bowei; and BioLeaders are among the leading companies operating in the market.

Report Coverage
Report Coverage

Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends

Segment Covered
Segment Covered

Type, Dosage, Application, and Distribution Channel

Regional Scope
Regional Scope

North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America

Country Scope
Country Scope

Argentina, Australia, Bahrain, Belarus, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Egypt, France, Germany, Guatemala, India, Indonesia, Iran, Italy, Japan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Philippines, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Thailand, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States

Frequently Asked Questions


What is the human papillomavirus vaccine market?

Human papillomaviruses is a diverse group of DNA-based viruses that infect the mucous and skin membranes of humans and various animals. More than 100 different types of human papillomavirus have been characterized. Increasing prevalence of various cancers caused by human papillomavirus is expected to drive the market during the forecast period. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), human papillomavirus is the most common sexually transmitted infection in the U.S. Over 60% of penile cancers, 70% of vulvar and vaginal cancers, and 90% of anal and cervical cancers are caused due to human papillomavirus infection. CDC also states that about 14 million people are newly infected by human papillomavirus every year in the U.S.

What are the driving factors for the human papillomavirus vaccine market across the country?

Driving factor such as increase in prevalence of HPV associated diseases and initiatives taken by global health organizations are likely to have a positive impact on the growth of the global human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines market. Whereas factors, such as growing number of HPV awareness programs, are likely to create a growth opportunity on the HPV vaccines market in the near future.

Who are the major players in market the human papillomavirus vaccine market?

The human papillomavirus vaccine market majorly consists of the players such Merck & Co. In., GSK, Serum Institute of India, Walvax Biotechnologies, Innovax, Vaccitech, Innovio Pharmaceuticals, Chengdu Institute of Biological Products Co., Ltd., Sanofi, R-Pharm, Shanghai Bowei, and Bioleaders amongst others.

Which segment is dominating the human papillomavirus vaccine market?

The human papillomavirus vaccine market, by type, is bifurcated 9-valent HPV vaccine, quadrivalent HPV vaccine, and bivalent HPV vaccine. In 2022, the quadrivalent HPV vaccine segment held the largest share of the market, by type. However, the 9-valent HPV vaccine segment is expected to witness the fastest growth during 2022 to 2028.

The List Of Companies - HPV Vaccines Market

  1. Merck & Co. In.
  2. GSK
  3. Serum Institute of India
  4. Walvax Biotechnologies
  5. Innova
  6. Vaccitech
  7. Innovio Pharmaceuticals
  8. Chengdu Institute of Biological Products Co., Ltd.
  9. Sanofi
  10. R-Pharm
  11. Shanghai Bowei
  12. Bioleaders

The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.

  1. Data Collection and Secondary Research:

As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published many reports and advised several clients across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.

Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organizations are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in the last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.

  1. Primary Research:

The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.

For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/Sales Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.

A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:

  • Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
  • Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
  • Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding

Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:

  • Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
  • Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.

Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:

Research Methodology

Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.

  1. Data Analysis:

Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.

  • 3.1 Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:

We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.

  • 3.2 Country Level Data:

Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.

  • 3.3 Company Profile:

The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.

  • 3.4 Developing Base Number:

Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.

  1. Data Triangulation and Final Review:

The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.

We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.

We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.

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