Middle East & Africa Small Caliber Ammunition Market to Grow at a CAGR of 5.6% to reach US$ 774.07 million from 2021 to 2028

Middle East & Africa Small Caliber Ammunition Market Forecast to 2028 - COVID-19 Impact and Regional Analysis By Ammunition Size (5.56mm, 7.62mm, 9mm, 12.7mm, 14.5mm, 45ACP, .338mm, .22LR, 223 REM, and .308 Winchester), End User (Military, Homeland Security, and Law Enforcement Agencies), and Gun Type (Pistols, Rifles, and Shot Guns)

Publication Month : Jun 2021

  • Report Code : TIPRE00023047
  • Category : Aerospace and Defense
  • Status : Published
  • No. of Pages : 132
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The MEA small caliber ammunition market is expected to grow from US$ 529.60 million in 2021 to US$ 774.07 million by 2028; it is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2021 to 2028.



The UAE, South Africa, and Saudi Arabia are major economies in MEA region. Escalating adoption of new squad automatic rifle by military forces is expected to drive the MEA small caliber ammunition market. The military forces across MEA region are focusing on adopting revolutionary new bullet designs like the cased-telescoped offering increased lethality but also weight savings for overburdened infantry soldiers. In addition, rapid prototyping has led to the development of new automatic rifles that could replace existing M249. Further, armies across MEA region is planning to move to field a new squad automatic rifle. The new automatic rifle would fire a 6.8 mm round which the service and representatives from industry who are competing for the contract to build it are embracing. The 6.8mm caliber is developed to address the shortcomings of 5.6mm caliber. This is anticipated to fuel the growth of MEA small caliber ammunition market in the near future. Other factor such as mounting demand for small arms ammunition is also expected to escalate the MEA small caliber ammunition market.

In case of COVID-19, MEA is highly affected especially South Africa. The MEA small caliber ammunition market is majorly affected by the disruption in the supply chain. Pertaining to the closure of borders of countries, the supply chain of several small caliber ammunition has been disturbed. The demand for advanced military equipment and products, including rifles and pistols, for strengthening the military troops have weakened during the initial months of COVID-19 virus outbreak. This led the ammunition manufacturers to experience disturbed supply chain of raw materials. This has resulted in a loss of business among the local and international small caliber ammunition manufacturers. Further, several international defense forces rely on sourcing small caliber ammunition from the Israeli, Turkish, and South African manufacturers, however, due to disruption in supply chain and international trades during early days of COVID outbreak, the small caliber ammunition manufacturers faced substantial challenges to generate revenues. This factor has been analyzed to understand and depict the impact of COVID-19 on MEA small caliber ammunition market.

With the new features and technologies, vendors can attract new customers and expand their footprints in emerging markets. This factor is likely to drive the MEA small caliber ammunition market. The MEA small caliber ammunition market is expected to grow at a good CAGR during the forecast period.

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MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market Segmentation    


MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market – By Ammunition Size

  • 5.56mm
  • 7.62mm
  • 9mm
  • 12.7mm
  • 14.5mm
  • 45ACP
  • .338mm
  • .22LR
  • 223 REM 
  • .308 Winchester

MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market – By End User

  • Military
  • Homeland Security
  • Law Enforcement Agencies

MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market – By Gun Type

  • Pistols
  • Rifles
  • Shot Guns 

MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market, by Country

  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • South Africa  
  • Rest of MEA    

MEA Small Caliber Ammunition Market -Companies Mentioned

  • BAE Systems Plc
  • CBC Global Ammunition
  • Denel PMP
  • Elbit Systems Ltd.
  • FN HERSTAL    
  • NAMMO AS
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
Report Coverage
Report Coverage

Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends

Segment Covered
Segment Covered

Ammunition Size, End User, and Gun Type

Regional Scope
Regional Scope

North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America

Country Scope
Country Scope

Saudi Arabia

  1. BAE Systems Plc
  2. CBC Global Ammunition
  3. Denel PMP
  4. Elbit Systems Ltd.
  5. FN HERSTAL
  6. NAMMO AS
  7. Northrop Grumman Corporation

The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.

  1. Data Collection and Secondary Research:

As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published many reports and advised several clients across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.

Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organizations are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in the last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.

  1. Primary Research:

The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.

For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/Sales Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.

A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:

  • Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
  • Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
  • Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding

Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:

  • Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
  • Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.

Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:

Research Methodology

Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.

  1. Data Analysis:

Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.

  • 3.1 Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:

We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.

  • 3.2 Country Level Data:

Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.

  • 3.3 Company Profile:

The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.

  • 3.4 Developing Base Number:

Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.

  1. Data Triangulation and Final Review:

The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.

We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.

We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.

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