Autonomous Truck Market Growth & Future by 2031
Autonomous Truck Market Size and Forecast (2021 - 2031), Global and Regional Share, Trend, and Growth Opportunity Analysis Report Report Coverage : by Propulsion (Diesel, Electric, Hybrid), Vehicle Type (Light Duty Truck, Medium Duty Truck, Heavy Duty Truck), Sensor Type (Camera, Radar, Lidar, Ultrasonic, Others), Application (Last Mile Delivery Truck, Mining Truck, Shuttles) and Geography
- Report Date : Jan 2026
- Report Code : TIPRE00042049
- Category : Technology, Media and Telecommunications
- Status : Upcoming
- Available Report Formats :
- No. of Pages : 150
The Autonomous Truck Market is expected to reach US$ 117.61 billion by 2031 from US$ 43.25 billion in 2024. The market is anticipated to register a CAGR of 15.9% during 2025–2031.
Autonomous Truck Market AnalysisThe autonomous truck market forecast indicates robust growth, driven by advancements in sensor technology, AI, and machine learning, alongside increasing demand for operational efficiency and safety in freight transport. The market expansion is facilitated by the growing adoption of autonomous driving solutions to reduce operational costs and mitigate driver shortages. Additionally, government regulations promoting road safety and investments in smart transportation infrastructure support the growth of autonomous trucks globally.
Autonomous Truck Market OverviewAutonomous trucks are self-driving freight vehicles equipped with advanced sensors, cameras, radar, and AI-based systems to navigate without human intervention. These trucks enable automation of freight logistics, improving fuel efficiency, reducing accidents caused by human error, and optimizing delivery routes. Autonomous trucks enhance operational productivity, reduce transportation costs, and contribute to sustainable logistics solutions. Their adoption ranges from highway freight to last-mile delivery services, impacting global supply chains across industries.
Strategic InsightsAutonomous Truck Market Drivers and OpportunitiesMarket Drivers:
- Growing Demand for Efficient Freight Transportation: Increasing global trade volumes and supply chain complexities are prompting logistics companies to adopt autonomous trucks to ensure timely deliveries and reduce fuel consumption.
- Technological Advancements in AI and Sensor Technologies: The continuous evolution of LIDAR, radar, and computer vision enhances the safety and reliability of autonomous trucks.
- Driver Shortage and Rising Labor Costs: The trucking industry faces a chronic shortage of skilled drivers, leading to increased interest in autonomous solutions to maintain operational continuity.
- Government Support and Safety Regulations: Regulatory bodies are encouraging the adoption of autonomous vehicles to reduce road accidents and improve highway safety through pilot programs and incentives.
Market Opportunities:
- Expansion in Emerging Markets: Developing economies in the Asia Pacific and Latin America are increasingly investing in autonomous transportation infrastructure, presenting growth opportunities.
- Integration with Smart Logistics and IoT Platforms: Combining autonomous trucks with real-time data analytics and IoT devices enhances supply chain transparency and efficiency.
- Adoption of Electric Autonomous Trucks: The convergence of electrification and autonomy presents opportunities for zero-emission freight transport, supported by environmental regulations and sustainability goals.
- Collaborations between OEMs and Tech Companies: Strategic partnerships accelerate the development and deployment of autonomous truck technologies across various use cases.
The autonomous truck market share is analyzed across various segments to provide a clearer understanding of its structure, growth potential, and emerging trends. Below is the standard segmentation approach used in most industry reports:
By Autonomy Level:
- Level 3 (Conditional Automation)
- Level 4 (High Automation)
- Level 5 (Full Automation)
By Component:
- Hardware
- Software
- Services
By Application:
- Long-Haul Freight
- Last-Mile Delivery
- Mining and Construction
By Geography:
- North America
- Europe
- Asia Pacific
- South & Central America
- Middle East & Africa
The autonomous truck market in North America is expected to witness significant growth during the forecast period, driven by technological innovations and early regulatory frameworks supporting autonomous vehicle testing and deployment.
Market Report ScopeAutonomous Truck Market Share Analysis by GeographyThe autonomous truck market exhibits varying growth dynamics across regions, influenced by infrastructure, regulations, and market readiness:
1. North America
Market Share: Holds the largest market share due to advanced automotive technology adoption and strong government support.
Key Drivers:
- Early adoption of autonomous vehicle testing and pilot projects
- Presence of major OEMs and technology companies
- Supportive regulatory policies promoting autonomous freight
Trends: Increasing integration of autonomous trucks in logistics fleets and partnerships between technology firms and transportation companies.
2. Europe
Market Share: A significant share driven by stringent safety regulations and environmental policies.
Key Drivers:
- EU regulations emphasizing road safety and emissions reduction
- Investment in smart highway infrastructure
- Collaborative projects under Horizon Europe and similar initiatives
Trends: Development of interoperability standards and cross-border autonomous freight corridors.
3. Asia Pacific
Market Share: Fastest-growing region fueled by expanding logistics infrastructure and government investments.
Key Drivers:
- Rising e-commerce demand and urbanization
- Government initiatives for smart cities and intelligent transportation systems
- Increasing manufacturing output necessitates efficient freight solutions.
Trends: Adoption of electric autonomous trucks and pilot projects in China, Japan, and South Korea.
4. South and Central America
Market Share: Emerging market with gradual adoption due to infrastructure development.
Key Drivers:
- Growing logistics and transportation sectors
- Investments in smart transportation infrastructure
- Increasing private sector interest in automation
Trends: Focus on cost-effective autonomous solutions and partnerships for technology transfer.
5. Middle East and Africa
Market Share: Developing market with potential growth from infrastructure modernization.
Key Drivers:
- Government initiatives for smart logistics hubs
- Investment in autonomous vehicle pilot programs
- Demand for improved supply chain efficiency
Trends: Implementation of autonomous trucks in controlled environments such as ports and mining sites.
Autonomous Truck Market Players Density: Understanding Its Impact on Business DynamicsThe autonomous truck market is highly competitive with participation from established automotive OEMs, technology providers, and startups. Leading companies such as Tesla Inc., Waymo (Alphabet Inc.), Daimler AG, and TuSimple dominate with significant R&D investments and pilot deployments.
Competitive differentiation is driven by:
- Robust AI and sensor integration ensuring safety and reliability
- Strategic alliances for technology co-development and testing
- Scalable autonomous platforms suitable for different truck classes
- Regulatory compliance and focus on cybersecurity
Opportunities and Strategic Moves:
- Expansion through partnerships with logistics and fleet management companies
- Incorporation of AI/ML for predictive maintenance and fleet optimization
- Investment in electric autonomous trucks to align with sustainability targets
- Tesla Inc.
- Waymo (Alphabet Inc.)
- Daimler AG
- TuSimple
- Volvo Group
- Navistar International Corporation
- Embark Trucks
- Aurora Innovation
- Einride
- Plus.ai
- Starsky Robotics
- Mobileye (Intel Corporation)
- Nvidia Corporation
- Baidu Inc.
- Hyundai Motor Company
- PACCAR Inc.
- Gatik AI
- Kodiak Robotics
- Kodiak Robotics
- Optimus Ride
- Tesla announced the expansion of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta program, including semi-truck features to enhance autonomous freight capabilities.
- Waymo unveiled new autonomous trucking pilot projects in collaboration with major logistics firms across the U.S. Midwest.
- Daimler AG introduced a Level 4 autonomous truck prototype designed for highway freight operations in Europe.
- TuSimple raised significant funding to accelerate autonomous truck deployments in North America and Asia-Pacific markets.
The "Autonomous Truck Market Size and Forecast (2021–2031)" report provides a detailed analysis covering:
- Autonomous truck market size and forecast at global, regional, and country levels across key segments
- Market trends, dynamics, including drivers, restraints, and key opportunities
- Comprehensive PEST and SWOT analysis
- Autonomous truck market analysis covering technology trends, regulatory environment, and major players
- Industry landscape and competition analysis with market concentration, heat map, and recent developments
- Detailed company profiles
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Report Coverage
Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends
Segment Covered
This text is related
to segments covered.
Regional Scope
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America
Country Scope
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to country scope.
Frequently Asked Questions
The market is primarily driven by:
1. Increasing demand for efficient freight transportation
2. Advancements in AI and sensor technologies
3. Driver shortages and rising labor costs in trucking
4. Government initiatives promoting road safety and autonomous vehicle testing
The hardware segment, including sensors such as LIDAR and radar, holds a significant market share, providing the foundational technology for safe autonomous operation.
Key applications include:
1. Long-haul freight transportation on highways
2. Last-mile delivery services in urban environments
3. Specialized operations in mining and construction sites
As of 2025:
1. North America leads with the largest market share due to technological readiness and supportive policies.
2. Europe follows with strong regulatory frameworks emphasizing safety.
3. Asia Pacific is the fastest-growing region, driven by urbanization and government investments.
Major players include Tesla Inc., Waymo, Daimler AG, TuSimple, and Volvo Group, among others.
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The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.
- Data Collection and Secondary Research:
As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published many reports and advised several clients across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.
Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organizations are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in the last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.
- Primary Research:
The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.
For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/Sales Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.
A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:
- Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
- Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
- Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding
Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:
- Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
- Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.
Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:
Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.
- Data Analysis:
Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.
- 3.1 Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:
We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.
- 3.2 Country Level Data:
Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.
- 3.3 Company Profile:
The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.
- 3.4 Developing Base Number:
Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.
- Data Triangulation and Final Review:
The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.
We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.
We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.
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