2G 和 3G 关闭市场基于(关键地区、市场参与者、规模和份额)- 到 2030 年的预测

  • Report Code : TIPTE100000785
  • Category : Technology, Media and Telecommunications
  • Status : Published
  • No. of Pages : 151
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【研究报告】2020年2G&3G关断市场规模为287.5亿美元,预计到2030年将下降至36.5亿美元;预计 2020 年至 2030 年复合年增长率为 -18.6%。
2G 和 3G 关闭市场 - 分析师观点:
5G 的快速扩张促使移动网络运营商 (MNO) 关闭其 2G和 3G 网络,并将其重新用于 5G 部署。它有力地推动了 2G 和 3G 关闭市场的增长。目前的一些智能家居设备(例如家庭安全和智能电表)在 2G 和 3G 网络上进行通信。家庭安全系统通常使用 3G 备用通信器来联系监控中心,以了解断电或无理篡改电线等事件。 2G 和 3G 属于物联网和机器对机器 (M2M) 设备,因为它们比 4G 模块更具成本效益。此外,4G 的速度与发送少量数据的 IoT 或 M2M 设备无关。蜂窝物联网设备始终联网,其通过移动通信传输数据的能力源于保持永久漫游状态的 M2M 用户识别模块 (SIM) 卡。它允许他们利用不同运营商的移动网络并自动从一种连接切换到另一种连接以保持持续连接。因此,较慢的 2G 和 3G 连接对于当今的标准来说仍然足够快。因此,淘汰 2G 和 3G 网络会导致依赖 2G 或 3G M2M 用户身份模块 (SIM) 卡的物联网设备的连接选项受到限制。
随着当前 5G 的发展,工业物联网设备预计将比住宅物联网设备受到更大的影响未来 6G 的推出和显着推出需要淘汰旧技术。蜂窝连接在工业物联网 (IIoT) 中发挥着广泛的作用。组织需要在农业、制造、能源、零售、医疗保健和物流等垂直领域的不同地理区域保持持续连接。当设备经常移动、固定在偏远地区或按需部署时,蜂窝网络变得至关重要。相比之下,大多数现代智能家居设备都是通过家庭 Wi-Fi 网络连接的。因此,预计 2G 和 3G 的淘汰对智能家居/互联建筑应用的影响极小。例如,英国智能电表的全国推广很大程度上依赖于基于 2G 的 M2M 连接。据英国政府统计,2022年国内物业安装智能电表总计360万个,较2021年增长4%。因此,3G正在先于2G(预计2025年完成)关闭(预计2025年完成)。预计将于 2033 年在英国完成),也推动了 2G 和 3G 关闭市场的增长。然而,对于在全球范围内推出的任何新设备,设备制造商都必须考虑到 2G 和 3G 之后不久的 4G 即将落幕。例如,Sprint LTE 网络于 2022 年 6 月 30 日关闭。
2G 和 3G 关闭市场概述:
有大量设备和服务依赖于旧一代网络,并受到了2G/3G 日落。其中包括个人健康报告、家庭安全、工业设备自动化、实时性能和自主操作。这些领域使用的许多设备将使用数十年。例如,过去十年生产的许多新车(有些甚至是 2021 年最近生产的)都是采用基于 3G 的联网服务制造的。其中包括位置数据、紧急呼叫服务、Wi-Fi 热点、远程锁定/解锁功能、语音助手、智能手机应用程序连接,甚至礼宾服务。此外,SOS 系统和路边警报是基于网络的功能,也可能受到影响。丰田、雷克萨斯、日产和现代在 2019 年之前发布的车辆很容易受到这种日落的影响。
安全系统通常通过蜂窝网络运行。 2016年初,3G网络成为安全面板中使用的标准通信技术。随着传统铜质固定电话的退役,人们开始转向使用蜂窝技术传输消息的无线安全系统。如果安装的报警系统基于 3G 兼容通信器,一旦运营商开始关闭 3G 网络,无论安全提供商如何,该系统都将无法正常工作。在这种情况下,需要更换蜂窝通信器才能在新网络上运行。
全球多家网络运营商已宣布将在 2023 年之前逐步淘汰 2G 和 3G,从而推动 2G 和 3G 关闭市场的增长。例如,在这种转变最为突出的欧洲,Orange 作为最新采用这一趋势的运营商之一,截至 2022 年 8 月宣布,传统 2G 和 3G 将在 2025 年至 2030 年逐步淘汰。
战略洞察
2G 和 3G 关闭市场驱动因素:
5G 技术的出现推动 2G 和 3G 关闭市场增长
新兴 5G 网络具有比 4G 更高的容量、更低的延迟和更高的带宽。这些网络增强预计将影响全世界人们的工作、生活和娱乐方式。据英特尔公司称,5G将提供比4G高出1000倍的容量,为物联网的发展铺平道路。 5G 和物联网是一个伟大的组合,有可能重塑无线网络和互联网的使用方式。由于能够轻松地与数百或数千台设备进行通信,城市、工厂、农场、学校和家庭的新应用程序和用例将蓬勃发展。向 5G 的过渡可能是未来几年智能手机行业最重要的增长引擎。基于 5G 的移动网络的进步实现了低延迟,这为新的机遇开辟了道路,包括虚拟现实体验、多人移动游戏、工厂机器人和自动驾驶汽车应用,而快速响应被认为是强有力的标准。因此,由于5G技术的巨大优势,多个国家正在采用它,推动2G和3G关闭市场的增长。
2G和3G关闭市场细分分析:
2G和3G关闭市场根据类型和应用进行分类。根据类型,2G和3G关闭市场分为2G和3G。 2020年,3G细分市场占有较大市场份额,而2G细分市场下降速度更快。从应用来看,市场分为消息、语音、数据和物联网。随着各行业转向支持 5G 的设备,物联网领域正在以最快的速度减速。按地域划分,2G 和 3G 关闭市场分为北美、欧洲、亚太地区 (APAC)、中东和非洲 (MEA) 以及南美洲 (SAM)。亚太地区5G采用速度最快,2G和3G退网市场下降速度更快。
运营商关闭2G和3G网络以释放4G和5G频段,从而推动2G和3G退网市场。然而,安装4G和5G等更高速的网络需要一定的基础设施,包括频谱、站点和光纤;这些基础设施的安装成本相当高。部署 5G 基站需要大量前期成本,包括获取土地或屋顶空间、购买和安装设备、获得许可以及确保供电和回程连接。这些成本可能成为电信运营商和政府的障碍。电信运营商必须参与成本高昂的频谱拍卖,以获得 5G 所需的频段。这些拍卖成本增加了整体基础设施支出。
由于 5G 网络的覆盖范围更短、频段更高,因此需要更密集的基站部署。因此,需要更多的基站来覆盖同一区域,从而增加了基础设施成本。尽管如此,由于5G的优势,它正在以惊人的速度被采用,取代2G和3G技术。印度、中国、马来西亚、墨西哥、南非和巴西等发展中国家的 5G 用户采用率不断增加,导致 2G 和 3G 关闭市场增长。
2G 和 3G 关闭市场区域分析:
2020年亚太地区2G和3G关断市场规模为37.1亿美元,预计到2030年将达到1.1亿美元;预计 2022 年至 2030 年复合年增长率为 -29.4%。亚太地区 2G 和 3G 关闭市场分为澳大利亚、印度、中国、日本、韩国和亚太地区其他地区。据全球技术研究和 IT 咨询公司 ISG 称,预计到 2025 年,亚太地区有 29 家运营商将停止使用 2G/3G 网络。印度计划在 2023 年底之前停止使用 2G。沃达丰将在 2022 年停止使用 2G,而沃达丰将在 2022 年停止使用 2G。日本于2012年宣布全国2G日落。所有这些情况都促进了2G和3G关闭市场的增长。
一些地区运营商正在关闭2G和3G网络,对2G和3G关闭市场的增长产生积极影响。例如,截至2021年2月,以“Vi”品牌提供服务的电信运营商Vodafone Idea Ltd(VIL)在2022财年之前完全关闭了印度所有领域的3G服务,并转向4G。网络运营商已准备好提供5G。因此,该地区 2G 和 3G 网络的多次关闭将促进 2G 和 3G 关闭市场。
2G 和 3G 关闭市场主要参与者分析:
AT&T Inc、BCE Inc、中国移动有限公司、德国电信AG、KDDI Corp、NTT Data Corp、Orange SA、Telefonica SA、Telenor ASA 和 Vodafone Group Plc 是本次研究中介绍的主要 2G 和 3G 关闭市场参与者。此外,还对其他几个重要的 2G 和 3G 关断市场参与者进行了研究和分析,以全面了解全球 2G 和 3G 关断市场及其生态系统。
2G 和 3G 关断市场最新动态:
2023 年 12 月,O2 斯洛伐克宣布计划从 2024 年 1 月开始逐步淘汰其 3G 网络,理由是使用量减少并专注于现代 4G 和 5G 技术。该公司将于2024年1月下旬开始关闭斯洛伐克指定地区的3G网络,并在未来两年内逐步将关闭范围扩大到全国范围。 O2 指出,由于 4G 和 5G 技术的出现,3G 的使用已大幅减少,目前已达到最低水平。 2023 年 7 月,Singtel、StarHub 和 M1 公布了从 7 月 31 日起关闭其在新加坡的 3G 网络的计划。到 2024 年,三者都将重新调整频谱用途以改善 5G 服务。运营商在一份联合声明中指出,近年来他们一直在敦促 3G 客户迁移到 4G 或 5G 服务,并计划在未来几个月内采取措施,帮助用户转向其他网络。
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Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends

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North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America

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Frequently Asked Questions


What are the driving factors impacting the global 2G & 3G switch off market?

The emergence of 5G technology, increasing adoption of industry 4.0 and edge computing are the major factors that propel the global 2G & 3G switch off market.

What are the future trends of the global 2G & 3G switch off market?

Government regulations to shut down 2G and 3G is anticipated to play a significant role in the global 2G & 3G switch off market in the coming years.

Which are the key players operating in the global 2G & 3G switch off market?

The key players in the global 2G & 3G switch off market are AT&T Inc, BCE Inc, China Mobile Ltd, Deutsche Telekom AG, KDDI Corp, NTT Data Corp, Orange SA, Telefonica SA, Telenor ASA, and Vodafone Group Plc.

What will be the market size of the global 2G & 3G switch off market by 2030?

The global 2G & 3G switch off market is expected to reach US$ 3.65 billion by 2030.

What is the estimated market size for the global 2G & 3G switch off market in 2022?

The global 2G & 3G switch off market was estimated to be US$ 28.75 billion in 2020 and is expected to decline at a CAGR of -18.6% till 2030.

What is the incremental growth of the global 2G & 3G switch off market during the forecast period?

The incremental growth expected to be recorded for the global 2G & 3G switch off market during the forecast period is US$ -17.09 billion.

The List of Companies - 2G and 3G Switch Off Market 

  1. AT&T Inc                 
  2. BCE Inc    
  3. China Mobile Ltd                 
  4. Deutsche Telekom AG      
  5. KDDI Corp              
  6. NTT Data Corp      
  7. Orange SA              
  8. Telefonica SA        
  9. Telenor ASA          
  10. Vodafone Group Plc

The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.

  1. Data Collection and Secondary Research:

As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published and advised several client across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.

Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organization are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.

  1. Primary Research:

The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.

For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.

A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:

  • Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
  • Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
  • Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding

Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:

  • Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
  • Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.

Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:

Research Methodology

Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.

  1. Data Analysis:

Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.

  • Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:

We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.

  • Country Level Data:

Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.

  • Company Profile:

The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.

  • Developing Base Number:

Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.

  1. Data Triangulation and Final Review:

The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.

We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.

We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.

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