Se espera que el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague crezca de US$ 12.576,10 millones en 2021 a US$ 20.372,75 millones en 2028; se estima que crecerá a una tasa compuesta anual del 7,1% durante 2021-2028.
Los principales beneficios de las transmisiones de doble embrague (DCT) son una mayor eficiencia energética que la transmisión automática. sistemas con convertidores de par y la capacidad de llenar el espacio de par durante los cambios de marcha para permitir perfiles de aceleración longitudinal fluidos. Por lo tanto, las DCT son alternativas viables a las transmisiones manuales automatizadas (AMT). Se producen importantes pérdidas de energía por deslizamiento del embrague durante los cambios de marcha en vehículos equipados con motores que pueden generar un par considerable. Como resultado, los DCT necesitan embragues húmedos para una disipación de calor eficaz. Sin embargo, con la creciente demanda de automóviles de gama baja, como los hatchbacks, el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague para los hot hatch está ganando terreno. Los hot hatch generan una cantidad considerable de potencia en comparación con sus autos de versión estándar, y las DCT son la transmisión preferida de los OEM. Por lo tanto, el concepto de hot hatch está en constante aumento, al igual que la demanda de transmisiones de cambios más rápidos. Los convertidores de par son una excelente opción con menos espacio; sin embargo, los entusiastas de esta categoría exigen DCT que cambien mucho más rápido. Por lo tanto, se espera que con el aumento de la demanda de escotillas calientes en el futuro, también aumente la necesidad de DCT.
La aplicación del doble embrague La transmisión mejora eficientemente la experiencia de conducción, ya que mejora la aceleración y ofrece cambios de marcha suaves. Por lo tanto, se están utilizando gradualmente en vehículos de economías en desarrollo como China, India, Corea del Sur y Brasil. Además, se espera que la creciente adopción de vehículos híbridos en todo el mundo, junto con la creciente integración de DCT, cree oportunidades de ventas atractivas durante el período previsto. Los vehículos híbridos están diseñados para ofrecer una mejor eficiencia de combustible, emisiones mínimas de CO2 y más potencia. Los HCV obtienen energía eléctrica generada a partir de diferentes fuentes, como sistemas de transmisión de doble embrague. Por lo tanto, pueden conservar energía apagando el motor cuando el automóvil está estacionado, inactivo o cuando la potencia del motor eléctrico es suficiente para conducir el vehículo sin asistencia del ICE. La integración de DCT en vehículos ofrece una mejor economía de combustible que las transmisiones automáticas y un rendimiento más suave que las transmisiones manuales. Como los DCT cambian suavemente y con un alto grado de precisión, a menudo han sido los preferidos en el ámbito del rendimiento. Por lo tanto, las DCT se están integrando con los HCV, lo que crea una gran oportunidad para que los fabricantes de DCT diseñen DCT eficientes.
Impacto de la pandemia de COVID-19 en el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague
La aparición y rápida propagación del nuevo coronavirus (COVID-19) ha paralizado a numerosos países desarrollados y en desarrollo. El aumento continuo del número de pacientes infectados está amenazando a varias industrias en todo el mundo. El brote ha estado afectando a las economías e industrias de varios países debido a cierres, prohibiciones de viaje y cierres de negocios. Dado que la mayoría de los países están aplicando bloqueos, la demanda de transmisiones de doble embrague está disminuyendo a un ritmo destacado. Esto se debe a que los principales países compradores de transmisiones de doble embrague han estado restringiendo su inversión en estos componentes y están utilizando un porcentaje justo de su presupuesto para combatir el COVID-19. El cierre temporal de las instalaciones de fabricación también muestra una tendencia negativa en el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague. La continuidad de la propagación del COVID-19 sería muy peligrosa para los actores del mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague.
La industria automotriz se encuentra entre las víctimas del COVID-19. Desde principios de 2020, esta industria ha ido reflejando una tendencia a la baja. Con la imposición de confinamientos en países de América del Norte, Europa y Asia, las industrias han sido testigos de experiencias devastadoras. La industria automotriz requiere una cantidad significativa de trabajadores humanos. Por el contrario, como el virus COVID-19 se propaga mediante la participación humana, el sector no puede funcionar correctamente. La tendencia a la baja en la industria automotriz está reflejando un impacto negativo en el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague.
regiones lucrativas para proveedores de transmisiones de doble embraguePerspectivas del mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague
Crecientes preocupaciones sobre el ahorro de combustible y las emisiones de CO2
Una cosechadora DCT la comodidad de una transmisión automática con la eficiencia de combustible de una transmisión manual. El siglo XXI ha observado un refinamiento en el diseño de los vehículos en términos de problemas relacionados con la aerodinámica. Vale la pena señalar que la reducción de un recuento de resistencia, es decir, ΔCD = 0,1, se explica en una mejora del kilometraje de 2,60 km/litro. Según las cifras del Departamento de Transporte de EE. UU. (DoT), EE. UU. tiene aproximadamente 276.100.000 vehículos circulando por las carreteras según lo registrado durante 2018. Además, cada día se añaden unos pocos cientos. También vale la pena señalar, según las estadísticas del Departamento de Energía (DoE), que el 16% de la energía producida en Estados Unidos se consume para superar la resistencia de los vehículos de carretera. El escenario global no es muy diferente. Por lo tanto, existe un enorme margen para mejorar la aerodinámica de los automóviles para conservar las reservas de petróleo que se están agotando. Las transmisiones de doble embrague (DCT) se refieren a embragues de doble fricción; están diseñados y operados de forma totalmente automatizada en los vehículos.
Información del mercado basada en el tipo de vehículo
Según el tipo de vehículo, el mercado global de transmisiones de doble embrague se segmenta en turismos y vehículos comerciales. Los turismos se utilizan para el transporte de pasajeros y no tienen más de ocho plazas. El aumento de la renta disponible de la población influye positivamente en la demanda de turismos en toda la región. Los automóviles de pasajeros se clasifican además en Clase A, Clase B, Clase C, Clase D, Clase E, Clase F, SUV y vehículos de pasajeros multipropósito (MPV).
Información sobre el mercado basada en la propulsión
El segmento de propulsión para el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague se clasifica en ICE e híbrido. La creciente exigencia de eficiencia del combustible ha dado lugar a la reducción del tamaño de los motores y a la integración de motores, lo que se espera que intensifique el crecimiento del mercado en los próximos años. Se prevé que el desarrollo de numerosos modos de combustión avanzados, como el encendido por compresión de carga homogénea (HCCI), impulse el crecimiento del segmento de motores de combustión interna (ICE).
Información sobre el mercado basada en marchas de avance
El segmento de marcha de avance para el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague se clasifica en 6, 7 y 8 y superiores. La transmisión de doble embrague de 7 velocidades hace que el rendimiento de conducción sea deportivo con cambios de marcha ultrarrápidos y transmisión directa sin alterar la fuerza de corte. La eficiencia de combustible que ofrece un sistema de transmisión de doble embrague de 7 velocidades es mejor que un sistema de transmisión manual.
Perspectivas estratégicas
Los actores que operan en el mercado de transmisiones de doble embrague adoptan estrategias como fusiones, adquisiciones e iniciativas de mercado para mantener sus posiciones en el mercado. A continuación se enumeran algunos desarrollos de los actores clave:
- En marzo de 2020, Lumax estaba planeando una palanca de cambios de transmisión de doble embrague, que se entiende que está autorizada. para el inicio de la producción. El Tata Altron automático utilizará una transmisión de doble embrague con embrague húmedo Schaeffler.
- Volkswagen Taigun se lanzó en India el 23 de septiembre de 2021. El modelo variante con motor de 1.5 litros tendrá una opción de 7- sistema automático de doble embrague de velocidad.
El mercado mundial de transmisiones de doble embrague se ha segmentado como se menciona a continuación:
Por tipo de vehículo< /p>
- Turismos
- Vehículo Comercial
Por Propulsión
- ICE
- Híbrido
Por segmento de vehículo
- A/B
- C < li>D
- E y superiores
- SUV
Por marchas de avance
- 6
- 7
- 8 y superior
Por geografía
- América del Norte
- Estados Unidos
- Canadá
- México
- Europa
- Francia
- Alemania
- Italia
- Reino Unido
- Rusia
- Resto de Europa
- Asia Pacífico (APAC)
- China
- India
- Corea del Sur
- Japón
- Australia < li>Resto de APAC
- Sudáfrica
- Arabia Saudita
- EAU
- Resto de MEA
- Brasil
- Argentina
- Resto de SAM
Perfiles de empresas
- Magna International Inc.
- Schaeffler Technologies AG & Co. KG
- BorgWarner Inc.
- Daimler AG
- Grupo Volkswagen
- ZF Friedrichshafen AG
- OC Oerlikon Management AG
- Ricardo plc
- Grupo Renault
- Hyundai Transys
Report Coverage
Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends
Segment Covered
This text is related
to segments covered.
Regional Scope
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America
Country Scope
This text is related
to country scope.
Frequently Asked Questions
The demand for dual clutch transmission is increasing at a prime growth rate for SUVs. The rising demand for SUVs globally is boosting the growth of the dual clutch transmission market. The popularity of SUVs continues to grow in almost every market in the world. As the global marketplace declines following trade tensions and a slowdown in the Chinese market, car manufacturers look for new ways to expand their market. The shifting interest of customers from sedans or hatchbacks to SUVs started around 7 years ago and is still growing strong. Increasing preference of consumers for SUVs is forcing the vehicle manufacturers to focus on integrating advanced dual clutch transmission in the vehicles. China counted for almost 46% of SUV global sales in 2020, and sales increased by 27%. This corresponds with a drop in consumer spending capabilities.
The application of dual-clutch transmission is efficiently boosting the driving experience as it improves acceleration and offers smooth gear shifting. Hence, they are gradually being used in vehicles across developing economies such as China, India, South Korea, and Brazil. Furthermore, the rising adoption of hybrid vehicles across the globe, coupled with the increasing integration of DCT, is creating attractive sales opportunities over the forecast period. Hybrid vehicles are designed for better fuel efficiency, minimum CO2 emissions, and more power. The HCVs obtain electrical energy generated from different sources such as dual clutch transmission systems.
The passenger cars are used to carry passengers and have no more than eight seats. The rise in disposable income among the population is positively influencing the demand for passenger cars across the region. Passenger cars are further categorized into Class A market, Class B market, Class C market, Class D market, Class E market, Class F market, SUV market, and multipurpose passenger vehicles (MPV). The above classification varies from country to country. The rising demand for passenger cars across the region boosting the need for automotive disc brakes in the coming years. Both the opposed piston type disc brakes and floating caliper type disc brakes are used in passenger cars.
Mounting requirement for fuel efficiency has resulted in engine downsizing and integration of a, which is expected to escalate market growth over the coming years. The development of numerous advanced combustion modes namely: homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) is anticipated to boost the growth of the internal combustion engines (ICE) market. The automotive ICE is projected to witness significant huge growth owing to rising vehicle demand globally over the forecast period. The increasing demand for high efficiency engines with reduced carbon emission is also estimated to boost the growth of ICE. The ICE is a type of power-generating source for several automobiles that generate heat with the combustion of petroleum or natural gas and thus resulting in generation of power for the automobile movement.
The dual clutch transmission market in APAC is expected to grow, owing to the rise in population, rapid urbanization, and investments in automotive industries. The presence of developing economies such as China, India, South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Taiwan helps in making Asia a developing region. Stable economies and technological advancements support the growth of diversified industries and markets in Asia. The dual clutch transmission is in high demand in countries such as Japan, China, India, and Australia. The Asian countries are in the process of accepting automatic and environmentally friendly mobility as a prominent means of transportation in the future. With an increase in the adoption of automatic and passenger cars, the demand for dual clutch transmission will grow exponentially, which would play an influencing role in boosting the production cycle of dual clutch transmission.
The main benefits of dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs) are a higher energy efficiency than automatic transmission systems with torque converters; and the capability to fill the torque gap during gear shifts to allow seamless longitudinal acceleration profiles. Therefore, DCTs are viable alternatives to automated manual transmissions (AMTs). For vehicles equipped with engines that can generate considerable torque, significant clutch-slip energy losses occur during power-on gear shifts, and, as a result, DCTs need wet clutches for effective heat dissipation. However, with the rising demand for low-end cars such as hatchbacks, the market for the hot hatch is gaining traction. With hot hatches, they generate a considerable amount of power compared to their standard version cars, and are the OEMs transmission of choice are DCTs.
The List of Companies - Dual Clutch Transmission Market
- Magna International Inc.
- Schaeffler Technologies AG & Co. KG
- BorgWarner Inc.
- Daimler AG
- Volkswagen AG
- ZF Friedrichshafen AG
- OC Oerlikon Management AG
- Ricardo
- Renault Group
- Hyundai Transys
The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.
- Data Collection and Secondary Research:
As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published and advised several client across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.
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- Primary Research:
The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.
For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.
A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:
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Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:
- Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
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Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:
Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.
- Data Analysis:
Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.
- Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:
We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.
- Country Level Data:
Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.
- Company Profile:
The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.
- Developing Base Number:
Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.
- Data Triangulation and Final Review:
The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.
We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.
We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.
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