Lubricants Market Size Report and Growth Analysis 2028

Lubricants Market Forecast to 2028 - COVID-19 Impact and Global Analysis By Base Oil (Mineral Oil, Synthetic, Bio-Based Lubricants, and Others), Product Type (Engine Oil, Hydraulic Oil, Gear Oil, Grease, Compressor Oil, and Others), and End Use (Oil and Gas, Industrial, Chemical, Automotive, Marine, and Others)

  • Report Code : TIPRE00003547
  • Category : Chemicals and Materials
  • Status : Published
  • No. of Pages : 157
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The lubricants market was valued at US$ 148.18 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach US$ 190.64 billion by 2028; it is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7% from 2021 to 2028.

 

MARKET INSIGHTS AND ANALYST VIEW

Lubricants are substances used to reduce friction between two surfaces in contact. They are primarily used to minimize wear and tear, heat generation, and energy loss when two moving parts come into contact. Lubricants can be liquids, such as oils, or semi-solids, like greases. The main purpose of lubricants is to provide a protective layer between the surfaces, forming a barrier that prevents direct metal-to-metal contact. By doing so, lubricants reduce friction and enable smoother movement, which helps to extend the lifespan of the equipment or machinery involved. The ongoing industrialization and infrastructure development in many countries is driving the demand for lubricants. As industries expand and infrastructure projects increase, there is a growing need for lubricants in various sectors, including manufacturing, construction, mining, and transportation.

KEY INSIGHTS

GROWTH DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES

The lubricants market has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by factors such as increasing demand from the aerospace, automotive, marine, and construction industries. The automotive industry is a significant consumer of lubricants. As the global population continues to rise and economies develop, there is an increasing demand for personal and commercial vehicles. This leads to higher consumption of lubricants for automobile engines, transmissions, and other automotive components. Continuous research and development efforts in lubricant formulations lead to the introduction of new and improved products with enhanced performance characteristics. These innovations attract customers who seek lubricants that offer better protection, efficiency, and environmental sustainability. In addition, with growing knowledge about the importance of lubrication in equipment maintenance and performance, there is a rising awareness among industries and consumers about the benefits of using quality lubricants. This awareness drives the demand for lubricants that can deliver optimal results and protect valuable assets. These factors are leading to an increase in the lubricants market share.

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Lubricants Market: Strategic Insights

lubricants-market
Market Size Value inUS$ 148.18 Billion in 2020
Market Size Value byUS$ 190.64 Billion by 2028
Growth rateCAGR of 2.7% from 2021 to 2028
Forecast Period2021-2028
Base Year2021
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However, lubricants are often derived from petroleum-based feedstocks, which are influenced by fluctuations in crude oil prices. If crude oil prices rise significantly, it can lead to higher raw material costs for lubricant manufacturers, which may be passed on to consumers. This can impact the affordability and demand for lubricants. Furthermore, while technological advancements have enabled the development of more efficient and high-performance lubricants, they can also pose a challenge for the industry. For instance, the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) reduces the demand for certain lubricants used in internal combustion engines. These factors could limit the lubricants market growth.

REPORT SEGMENTATION AND SCOPE

  • Sample PDF showcases the content structure and the nature of the information with qualitative and quantitative analysis.

On the basis of base oil, the lubricants market is divided into mineral oil, synthetic, bio-based oil, and others. Based on product type, the lubricants market is segmented into engine oil, hydraulic oil, gear oil, grease, compressor oil, and others. In terms of the end-use industry, the lubricants market is divided into oil & gas, industrial, chemical, automotive, marine, and others. Based on geography, the lubricants market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), the Middle East & Africa (MEA), and South & Central America.

SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS

On the basis of base oil, the lubricants market is bifurcated into mineral oil, synthetic, bio-based oil, and others. In 2022 the mineral oil segment accounted for the largest market share in the lubricants market. Mineral oil lubricants are primarily composed of hydrocarbons derived from crude oil. Mineral oil based are often more cost-effective compared to synthetic lubricants. The production process of mineral oils is well-established and relatively less expensive, making them a more affordable option for many industries and consumers. The cost advantage of mineral oil-based lubricants can be particularly important for price-sensitive applications or in regions with budget constraints.

Based on product type, the lubricants market is segmented into engine oil, hydraulic oil, gear oil, grease, compressor oil, and others. The hydraulic oil segment is expected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period. As industries expand and modernize, the demand for hydraulic systems increases. Hydraulic systems are widely used in the construction, agriculture, manufacturing, and transportation sectors. These systems rely on hydraulic oil lubricants for smooth operations and to provide power, control, and movement to machinery and equipment. The overall growth in industrial activities and infrastructure development contributes to the increased demand for hydraulic oil lubricants. These factors are driving the hydraulic oil segment growth in the lubricants market.

In terms of the end-use industry, the lubricants market is divided into oil & gas, industrial, chemical, automotive, marine, and others. In 2022, the automotive segment held the largest market share. The global automotive industry continues to grow, and with it, the number of vehicles on the road is increasing. As more people purchase cars and commercial vehicles, the demand for lubricants rises to meet the maintenance and lubrication needs of these industries. These factors led to the growth of the automotive segment in the lubricants market.

REGIONAL ANALYSIS

The lubricants market is segmented into five main regions—North America, Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), the Middle East & Africa (MEA), and South & Central America. Asia Pacific region was estimated to be around US$ 70 billion in 2022. The Asia Pacific region has been experiencing rapid economic growth, with countries like China, India, Japan, and Southeast Asian nations emerging as major industrial and manufacturing hubs. This growth has led to increased production activities across various sectors, including automotive, manufacturing, construction, and energy. As a result, there is a greater need for lubricants to ensure the smooth functioning of machinery and equipment. The Asia Pacific region has witnessed significant growth in the automotive industry, with rising vehicle production and sales. Lubricants are essential for automobiles to reduce friction, dissipate heat, and protect engine components. The increasing number of vehicles on the road necessitates a larger supply of lubricants for regular maintenance and servicing. These factors led to the lubricants market growth.

Furthermore, the North America region is estimated to register a CAGR of approximately 3% during the forecast period. North America has a strong and diverse industrial sector, including manufacturing, construction, transportation, and mining. These industries heavily rely on lubricants to ensure the smooth operation and maintenance of machinery, equipment, and vehicles. As industrial activities expand and modernize, the demand for lubricants increases accordingly. In addition, construction activities, including residential, commercial, and infrastructural projects, contribute to the lubricants market growth in Europe.

Europe is forecasted to be valued at around US$ 35 billion in 2028. Europe’s energy sector includes oil refineries, power plants, and renewable energy installations. Lubricants are used in various applications within this sector, such as turbines, compressors, generators, and other machinery. The demand for lubricants in the energy sector is driven by factors like energy production levels, maintenance schedules, and the expansion of renewable energy infrastructure. In addition, Europe has stringent environmental regulations that impact the lubricants market. The region has been moving towards more sustainable and environmentally friendly lubricants and those with lower emissions. As regulations become stricter, the demand for these types of lubricants is growing. These factors are creating a favorable environment for the lubricants market growth in Europe.

INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES

Various strategies and developments taken by the key operating in the global lubricants market. Some of the recent developments are mentioned below.

  • In December 2022, TotalEnergies established a partnership with SANY to launch lubricant solutions in the European market, and initiating cooperation in the European market will strongly strengthen the partnership.
  • In September 2020, Total Lubrifiants acquired Lubrilog SAS, a French company based in Romans sur Isère, specializing in formulating and producing very high-performance synthetic lubricants.
  • In November 2021, Chevron Products Company, a Chevron U.S.A. Inc. division, maker of the Havoline brand of advanced passenger car motor oils, developed Havoline PRO-RS Renewable Full Synthetic Motor Oil, its first renewable motor oil product and ultra-premium addition to the Havoline portfolio. The oil is made with 25 percent sustainably sourced plant-based oils.
  • In August 2020, Chevron Products Company, a division of Chevron U.S.A. Inc., and Novvi LLC today developed the first 100% renewable base oil production from Novvi’s Deer Park, Houston Facility.

COVID IMPACT

Before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the lubricants market growth was mainly driven by the aerospace, automobile, building & construction, and marine industries. However, in 2020, various industries had to slow down their operations due to disruptions in value chains caused by the shutdown of national and international boundaries. The pandemic led to social restrictions and severe economic impact, hampering lubricant manufacturing and distribution. The decline in the growth of the automotive industry significantly impacted the lubricants market growth. The global automotive industry was severely affected due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic also led to a dramatic decline in automotive sales. According to the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), the global sales of all types of vehicles decreased from 91,227 million in 2019 to 78,774 million in 2020. This negatively impacted the demand for lubricants.

In 2021, the economies started reviving their operations, and various industries resumed business activities. As a result, several industries, including the automotive industry, witnessed a recovery in their operations. According to the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), the global sales of all types of vehicles grew from 77.6 million in 2020 to 85.0 million in 2022. Thus, increased sales of vehicles increased demand for vehicle components, which bolstered the demand for lubricants. The recovery of the aerospace and automotive industries is driving the lubricants market growth.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AND KEY COMPANIES

Partnerships, acquisitions, and new product launches were found to be the major strategies adopted by the players operating in the global lubricants market. Some of the key players operating in the lubricants market include Shell Plc, Exxon Mobil Corp, TotalEnergies SE, Chevron Corp, BP Plc, Lukoil Oil Co, Fuchs Petrolub SE, Valvoline LLC, Indian Oil Corp Ltd, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corp.

Report Coverage
Report Coverage

Revenue forecast, Company Analysis, Industry landscape, Growth factors, and Trends

Segment Covered
Segment Covered

Base Oil, Product Type, and End Use, and Geography

Regional Scope
Regional Scope

North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South & Central America

Country Scope
Country Scope

Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States

Frequently Asked Questions


Based on base oil, why mineral oil accounts for the largest share in the global lubricant market?

Mineral oil is formed as a byproduct of crude oil refining. Mineral oil also has various industrial uses, such as usage in railroad, automotive, and aviation industries. The mineral oil is also widely used in variety of pharmaceuticals, foods and cosmetics and personal care products.

Based on product type, why engine oil accounts for the largest share in the global lubricant market?

Engine oil is most widely used lubricant across vertical of application such as diesel trucks, passenger cars, light duty trucks, pickup trucks, mining equipment, farming equipment, generators, irrigation pumps, air compressors, diesel engines and stationary engines. The engine oil consist of base oils enhanced with various additives such as oxidation inhibitor additives, anti-foaming, antiwear additives, detergents, dispersants, and, for multi-grade oils, viscosity index modifiers and antifreeze additives.

Based on end use industry, which held the fastest CAGR in the global lubricant market during the forecast period?

On the basis of end use industry, the industrial segment held the fastest CAGR in the lubricant market for the forecast period. Industrial lubricants are oils, greases, fluids, and other compounds that reduces binding, friction, wear, or exclude moisture. It is used to modify surface properties, regulate temperature, or remove debris. Lubricant is used to increase the efficiency and enhance the performance of industrial machinery and equipment. Lubricants used in industrial applications are formulated to prevent any damage or problems caused by degradation, prolong service intervals, increase the uptime of your machinery, enhance its productivity, and provide greater operational reliability.

Can you list some of the major players operating in the global lubricants market?

The major key players operating in the global lubricants market include Royal Dutch Shell, Exxon Mobil Corp, Chevron Corp, BP plc, Total, Lukoil, Sinopec Lubricant Company, Fuchs, Indian Oil Corp, and Valvoline.

Which region held the largest share of the global lubricants market?

The Asia Pacific dominated the global market. The region is expected to continue its dominance during the forecast period. The growing market penetration of the automotive industry in recent years in the Asian countries is estimated to accelerate the lubricant market growth in this region during the forecast period. Along with this, an increase in the pace of industrialization in China is adding to the demand for oil, grease and synthetic oil, which is further propelling the use of lubricants. The Chinese government has launched “Made in China 2025,” a state-led industrial policy that seeks to make China a dominant country in global high-tech manufacturing sector.

Based on end use industry, which segment held the largest share in the global lubricant market?

Based on end use industry, the automotive segment held the largest share in the lubricant market for the forecast period. Lubricants used in automotive industry is used for various applications such as engine, chassis, transmission, brakes, doors, window actuators, sunroof, windscreen wiper blades, noiseless pedals, convenient seat adjustment, reliable brakes, and among other applications. Grease is used in the suspension and steering joints to prevent premature wear and tear. Brake fluid is used to maintain and enhance the performance of brake systems.

The List of Companies - Lubricants Market

  1. Royal Dutch shell
  2. Exxon Mobil Corp
  3. Chevron Corp
  4. BP plc
  5. Total
  6. Lukoil
  7. Sinopec Lubricant Company
  8. Fuchs
  9. Indian Oil Corp
  10. Valvoline

The Insight Partners performs research in 4 major stages: Data Collection & Secondary Research, Primary Research, Data Analysis and Data Triangulation & Final Review.

  1. Data Collection and Secondary Research:

As a market research and consulting firm operating from a decade, we have published many reports and advised several clients across the globe. First step for any study will start with an assessment of currently available data and insights from existing reports. Further, historical and current market information is collected from Investor Presentations, Annual Reports, SEC Filings, etc., and other information related to company’s performance and market positioning are gathered from Paid Databases (Factiva, Hoovers, and Reuters) and various other publications available in public domain.

Several associations trade associates, technical forums, institutes, societies and organizations are accessed to gain technical as well as market related insights through their publications such as research papers, blogs and press releases related to the studies are referred to get cues about the market. Further, white papers, journals, magazines, and other news articles published in the last 3 years are scrutinized and analyzed to understand the current market trends.

  1. Primary Research:

The primarily interview analysis comprise of data obtained from industry participants interview and answers to survey questions gathered by in-house primary team.

For primary research, interviews are conducted with industry experts/CEOs/Marketing Managers/Sales Managers/VPs/Subject Matter Experts from both demand and supply side to get a 360-degree view of the market. The primary team conducts several interviews based on the complexity of the markets to understand the various market trends and dynamics which makes research more credible and precise.

A typical research interview fulfils the following functions:

  • Provides first-hand information on the market size, market trends, growth trends, competitive landscape, and outlook
  • Validates and strengthens in-house secondary research findings
  • Develops the analysis team’s expertise and market understanding

Primary research involves email interactions and telephone interviews for each market, category, segment, and sub-segment across geographies. The participants who typically take part in such a process include, but are not limited to:

  • Industry participants: VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers and national sales managers
  • Outside experts: Valuation experts, research analysts and key opinion leaders specializing in the electronics and semiconductor industry.

Below is the breakup of our primary respondents by company, designation, and region:

Research Methodology

Once we receive the confirmation from primary research sources or primary respondents, we finalize the base year market estimation and forecast the data as per the macroeconomic and microeconomic factors assessed during data collection.

  1. Data Analysis:

Once data is validated through both secondary as well as primary respondents, we finalize the market estimations by hypothesis formulation and factor analysis at regional and country level.

  • 3.1 Macro-Economic Factor Analysis:

We analyse macroeconomic indicators such the gross domestic product (GDP), increase in the demand for goods and services across industries, technological advancement, regional economic growth, governmental policies, the influence of COVID-19, PEST analysis, and other aspects. This analysis aids in setting benchmarks for various nations/regions and approximating market splits. Additionally, the general trend of the aforementioned components aid in determining the market's development possibilities.

  • 3.2 Country Level Data:

Various factors that are especially aligned to the country are taken into account to determine the market size for a certain area and country, including the presence of vendors, such as headquarters and offices, the country's GDP, demand patterns, and industry growth. To comprehend the market dynamics for the nation, a number of growth variables, inhibitors, application areas, and current market trends are researched. The aforementioned elements aid in determining the country's overall market's growth potential.

  • 3.3 Company Profile:

The “Table of Contents” is formulated by listing and analyzing more than 25 - 30 companies operating in the market ecosystem across geographies. However, we profile only 10 companies as a standard practice in our syndicate reports. These 10 companies comprise leading, emerging, and regional players. Nonetheless, our analysis is not restricted to the 10 listed companies, we also analyze other companies present in the market to develop a holistic view and understand the prevailing trends. The “Company Profiles” section in the report covers key facts, business description, products & services, financial information, SWOT analysis, and key developments. The financial information presented is extracted from the annual reports and official documents of the publicly listed companies. Upon collecting the information for the sections of respective companies, we verify them via various primary sources and then compile the data in respective company profiles. The company level information helps us in deriving the base number as well as in forecasting the market size.

  • 3.4 Developing Base Number:

Aggregation of sales statistics (2020-2022) and macro-economic factor, and other secondary and primary research insights are utilized to arrive at base number and related market shares for 2022. The data gaps are identified in this step and relevant market data is analyzed, collected from paid primary interviews or databases. On finalizing the base year market size, forecasts are developed on the basis of macro-economic, industry and market growth factors and company level analysis.

  1. Data Triangulation and Final Review:

The market findings and base year market size calculations are validated from supply as well as demand side. Demand side validations are based on macro-economic factor analysis and benchmarks for respective regions and countries. In case of supply side validations, revenues of major companies are estimated (in case not available) based on industry benchmark, approximate number of employees, product portfolio, and primary interviews revenues are gathered. Further revenue from target product/service segment is assessed to avoid overshooting of market statistics. In case of heavy deviations between supply and demand side values, all thes steps are repeated to achieve synchronization.

We follow an iterative model, wherein we share our research findings with Subject Matter Experts (SME’s) and Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) until consensus view of the market is not formulated – this model negates any drastic deviation in the opinions of experts. Only validated and universally acceptable research findings are quoted in our reports.

We have important check points that we use to validate our research findings – which we call – data triangulation, where we validate the information, we generate from secondary sources with primary interviews and then we re-validate with our internal data bases and Subject matter experts. This comprehensive model enables us to deliver high quality, reliable data in shortest possible time.

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